Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 12.510638 14.070151 15.819301 17.940470 20.461997 23.387366 27.072992
2025-07-13 11.411526 13.647369 16.377890 20.016269 24.828797 31.113421 40.182169
2025-07-20 10.312313 12.828554 16.077426 20.693103 27.279776 36.676134 51.776300
2025-07-27 9.122073 11.663257 15.075650 20.154110 27.824312 39.543189 60.099817
2025-08-03 8.563791 11.240158 14.973027 20.789517 30.095602 45.375349 74.882547
2025-08-10 7.860250 10.521136 14.340384 20.506018 30.830271 48.805597 86.473213
2025-08-17 7.275909 9.906027 13.776912 20.225606 31.478768 52.170203 99.092599
2025-08-24 6.811627 9.419321 13.346853 20.085243 32.315447 56.034576 114.308985
2025-08-31 6.332516 8.866956 12.756104 19.591383 32.410468 58.427014 127.031313
2025-09-07 5.975256 8.471613 12.374695 19.404171 33.039677 62.067942 144.746417
2025-09-14 5.527874 7.902833 11.663055 18.548369 32.217257 62.306398 152.910224
2025-09-21 5.113177 7.359990 10.954256 17.626612 31.131872 61.716437 158.375851
2025-09-28 4.771034 6.925680 10.416988 17.010387 30.686510 62.805575 170.987075
2025-10-05 4.886950 7.242015 11.180667 18.945123 36.088349 80.393249 258.528824
2025-10-12 4.779858 7.177973 11.271638 19.573234 38.691834 91.528577 334.287120
2025-10-19 4.518494 6.835002 10.834210 19.072903 38.503950 94.328747 372.498643
2025-10-26 4.428751 6.779996 10.915679 19.662712 41.143535 107.164006 488.916238
2025-11-02 4.234424 6.530436 10.615829 19.399614 41.530311 112.597159 567.892071
2025-11-09 4.055509 6.297839 10.331240 19.139290 41.882706 118.116539 660.664523
2025-11-16 3.905366 6.108095 10.115089 19.008948 42.577612 125.316581 788.843660
2025-11-23 3.727932 5.860160 9.770080 18.550165 42.258344 128.372664 885.809495
2025-11-30 3.594311 5.685073 9.556667 18.376174 42.752756 135.193106 1054.369178
2025-12-07 3.401588 5.393473 9.096399 17.580275 41.251097 132.612782 1089.805918